According to Edward Dowd, shelter costs make up 36% of the Consumer Price Index (CPI), and key housing market indicators are rolling over, strengthening the case for a recession led by the housing sector compared to his previous analysis on January 9th (source: Edward Dowd, Twitter, May 23, 2025). The recent spike in bond yields, attributed to the 'big beautiful bill,' has pushed real yields higher, which typically leads to tighter financial conditions and reduced risk appetite. For crypto traders, these macroeconomic pressures suggest increased volatility in both traditional and digital asset markets, as risk-off sentiment could drive capital flows out of equities and into defensive or alternative assets like Bitcoin and stablecoins. Monitoring housing data and yield movements is crucial for anticipating further crypto market reactions.